N.Y. weather: ‘Slow moving front’ moving east could trigger thunderstorms

AccuWeather: thunderstorms for weekend of Friday, June 6, 2025

This AccuWeather graphic shows thunderstorms in the forecast for New York City on the weekend of Friday, June 6, 2025.(AccuWeather)

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — While it may not be a washout weekend, those with plans in New York City may want to take note of the potential for thunderstorms in the days ahead.

Bob Larson, a senior meteorologist with AccuWeather, noted that a “reasonably slow moving front” is advancing eastward and could trigger storms going into the weekend. However, as the front is losing power it is becoming more disjointed and as such, the timing of any potential storms is difficult to pinpoint.

On Thursday, the front should remain well west of the city, impacting areas in northeastern Pennsylvania and up into the Catskills. By Friday, the front should grow closer and could begin to impact the nearby areas in northern New Jersey.

“It’s going to be another warm and humid day — very warm and humid day — and with that, can’t rule out a late afternoon thunderstorm locally, but we suspect the best chance of a storm would be at some point tomorrow night,” Larson said.

Despite the possibility, it is still not a “slam-dunk likelihood” that the city will experience thunderstorms Friday night.

Any storms that do form Friday night are expected to be scattered and unorganized. Moreover, these storms could have a “significant potential” to bring downpours and gusty winds.

On Saturday, the front itself will pass over the city and, according to Larson, showers could manifest at any point in the day. He did, however, make the point that the best chance for thunderstorms on Saturday would be in the afternoon hours.

Still, despite the possible rain in the forecast, Larson explained that it will not be a rainy day overall; sunshine could break through the clouds between any precipitation events.

Given the humidity in the air, any storm that forms could bring heavy rain, even if scattered in nature, Larson said.

Conditions will dry out Saturday night before giving way to a less humid Sunday with highs in the 70s.

“Showers could quickly move back into the area Sunday night from yet another system that is approaching from the west and southwest,” Larson explained.

The possibility for showers extends into Monday and Tuesday.

Looking ahead, Larson foresees temperatures once more returning into the 80s at some point midweek.

Although much of the smoke from the Canadian wildfires has steered clear of the city by Thursday afternoon, Larson shared that a shift in the winds could see the return of smoke to the city by the middle of next week. Still, any smoke is only expected to bring a hazy sky; it should not resemble anything like the oppressive smoke conditions two years ago.

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